The Long Road from Invention to Impact: Why Game-Changing Technologies Take Decades to Transform Society
The tractor revolutionized agriculture yet took 70 years for widespread adoption, revealing a persistent 'diffusion deficit' plaguing transformative technologies. Examining historical patterns from electrification to computing shows that true impact requires not just invention, but systemic reorganization and complementary innovations. As we stand on the brink of an AI revolution, understanding this diffusion dilemma is critical for turning potential into real-world transformation.