The Great AI Timeline Divide: Why 'Abnormal Technology' Advocates Predict Explosive Growth
A fierce debate rages between AI researchers: is artificial intelligence just another gradual technology, or a profoundly abnormal force poised for explosive growth? The 'AI as Profoundly Abnormal Technology' camp argues recursive self-improvement could trigger rapid capability jumps within 2-10 years, challenging assumptions about diffusion speed, superintelligence feasibility, and risk mitigation strategies.