Enterprise Giants Weaponize AI: The End of Discounts and Dawn of Deep Lock-In
Share this article
A stark warning echoes from Forrester Research's latest analysis: Major enterprise software vendors have pivoted decisively from AI experimentation to aggressive monetization, wielding artificial intelligence as a tool to cement customer dependency and eliminate discounting. Examining Q2 2025 earnings from Oracle, SAP, Workday, Microsoft, ServiceNow, and Salesforce, Forrester concludes "the era of experimentation is over, and the era of monetization has begun." This shift fundamentally alters the power dynamic between vendors and their enterprise clients.
The "Rebundling" Trap: AI as the Lock-In Catalyst
Vendors are aggressively promoting deeply integrated AI agents designed to weave into core user workflows. However, Forrester emphasizes that realizing the promised efficiency gains requires customers to undertake "the unglamorous work of process redesign" – a massive organizational lift involving retraining and workflow transformation. This inherent complexity becomes a powerful barrier:
"The barrier they create is less about the AI's intelligence and more about the monumental organizational effort to retrain your workforce on new workflows," Forrester states.
This effort serves a dual purpose for vendors: It justifies premium pricing for AI features while simultaneously making it prohibitively difficult for customers to switch providers. Vendors are actively "rebundling" their offerings, pushing customers to view their sprawling product suites as indispensable "platform[s] of platforms."
Monetization Over Flexibility: Squeezing the Customer Base
Forrester's findings align with observable vendor strategies documented over recent years. SAP's transition from on-premise licenses to cloud subscriptions, for instance, was explicitly framed by former CFO Luka Mucic as a move to capture a larger "share of the wallet" by providing infrastructure and operational services alongside software.
Oracle exemplifies this with its push for tightly coupled Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) and Fusion Applications. Forrester notes:
"Oracle's narrative of a complete, integrated cloud from infrastructure to applications is compelling for CIOs who seek to reduce complexity. However, this 'one-stop shop' approach represents a strategic trade-off... dramatically increas[ing] vendor lock-in and the strategic risk of your choice."
The commercial implications are stark. Vendors are leveraging entrenched positions to end discounting and push high-margin AI products. Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff hinted at this future, pondering charging per AI agent conversation as a "very high margin opportunity," potentially offsetting any reduction in per-seat license revenue. This trend extends beyond pure software, evidenced by Context data showing Microsoft's AI-enhanced Copilot+ PCs commanding a 57% price premium in Europe.
Navigating the Vendor Power Play
Forrester urges tech buyers to exercise extreme caution:
1. Demand Transparency: Insist on clear, predictable pricing models for AI features and consumption.
2. Prioritize Portability: Scrutinize data portability and multi-cloud integration capabilities before commitment. Negotiate contractual protections against future price hikes.
3. Implement FinOps Rigor: Establish robust financial operations practices to manage and predict consumption costs.
4. Focus on Tangible Outcomes: Build business cases based on measurable results, not vendor promises.
The Iron Grip Tightens: The integration of AI into core enterprise platforms isn't just a technological shift; it's a calculated commercial strategy. While consolidation promises efficiency, it concentrates immense risk. Enterprise leaders face a critical juncture: embrace the convenience of a monolithic vendor stack and accept diminished leverage, or navigate the complexity of multi-vendor integration to preserve flexibility – knowing the cost of switching is being deliberately engineered ever higher.
Source: Analysis based on Forrester Research report and reporting by Lindsay Clark for The Register (August 1, 2025).